Okay, so as I expected since covering the type of analysis I have had an influx of readers who are keen to know more. I have previously covered the difference between technical and fundamental trading, for those who missed them have a read before you finish reading this post (http://illuminatingfinance.blogspot.com.au/2014/05/fundamental-trading.html and http://illuminatingfinance.blogspot.com.au/2014/05/fundamental-trading.html).
However, as the title of this post indicates I would like to go into slightly more detail on technical analysis. The basis of technical analysis comes from analysis of quantitative data and graphs. Using technical analysis we are able to pick points of support and resistance for price in the future. Support points are prices in the markets where large groups of traders buys will continue to buy the product. Resistance points are prices in the market where a large group of traders will sell the product. This would regularly be due to ideas of under or over pricing, which they intend to exploit. Often due to psychological reasons these tend to move towards round numbers. These points can be found through an examination of graphs, as seen below.
We can learn a lot from analyzing this graph with the benefit of hindsight. An example of a support point (a point that it is unlikely for the price to descend below), can be found on the line A. At the $33 point, the price hit this support point and then went back up 4 times. This could be because some traders believe that at the support point this stock is very cheap and undervalued and thus demand rises. The line B is a good demonstration of a resistance point (a point that the price is unlikely to rise above). The price hit the $35 mark twice before retracing and then breaking through. A breakout is a price rise beyond the resistance or support point. Once this occurs often new support and resistance points are established, often at the point that was broken (ie. Support becoming resistance points or vice versa).
This will just be the one part of many on this very large topic. If you have an idea on what you would like the next post to be on or would just like to contact me please email illuminatingfinance@gmail.com
Sunday, 5 October 2014
Review of the Market wizards
I first read this book awhile go and remember the value it had. So this week I have reread it so I can provide a review for you, the readers!
The book Market Wizards by Jack D. Schwager is a Finance classic. Everyone in the trading world seems to have read it. It is the recorded conversations that Schwager had with the most successful traders in the world in the late 1980s. He speaks with 15 traders and one psychologist about their views on trading under several different topics. He talks with most of the traders on their particular method to being successful.
However, the message that came across in the book was there is more then one successful methods to making money. Each person is different and could deal with different amounts of risk and return, and thus required different strategies. This realization allowed me to stop searching for a holy grail strategy but instead work on my own strategy. This book is very well recommended to anyone interested in finance or trading, as it is a very good starting point for further research.
Enjoy reading!
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